Tariff Impact: Insights for Investors
We recently hosted a brief webinar, Tariff Impact: Insights for Investors. Two of our portfolio managers, Robert Szeles, CFA and Scott Camp presented on this topic.
Below is a summary of the key topics discussed, along with a link to the full recording.
Key Topics:
• Market Volatility: Scott discussed the recent market volatility driven by tariff policies and other factors, noting the high P/E multiple of the S&P 500 and the correction in the market. 1:54
• Impact of Tariffs: Scott explained the impact of tariffs on the market, including the higher costs for businesses and consumers, and the resulting lower earnings. 9:00
• Recession Fears: Scott addressed recession fears, stating that while economists predict a 50/50 chance of a recession, he believes in a soft landing with continued earnings growth. 7:34
• Retirement Accounts: Robert emphasized the importance of maintaining a long-term mindset for retirement accounts, highlighting historical market drawdowns and the steep rebound off the bottom. 10:56
• Asset Allocation: Robert provided guidance on asset allocation based on time horizon and withdrawal rates, stressing the importance of equity exposure for long-term goals. 13:42
• Deferral Rate: Robert advised that deferral rates should be based on individual financial situations rather than market conditions and emphasized the importance of maintaining contributions during a down market. 16:34
• Market Bottom: Scott estimated the bottom of the market to be between 4500 and 4750 but stressed the importance of sticking to one's plan and allocation for long-term growth. 17:32